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Warriors don't get much for Jackson
By John Hollinger
ESPN.com
Editor's note: This story has been updated with new information.
What a humiliating about-face. Less than a year after the Warriors' dysfunctional management proudly signed team captain Stephen Jackson to a cap-crippling three-year, $28 million extension negotiated behind then-general manager Chris Mullin's back, they gave away the disgruntled veteran for cap relief on Monday by dealing him and Acie Law to Charlotte for Raja Bell and Vladimir Radmanovic. Radmanovic's own contract is bad enough that the Lakers gave him away at the trade deadline a year earlier, speaking volumes about the Warriors' gaffe with Jackson.
What makes this even worse is that it appears Golden State took the second-best offer on the table. Multiple league sources told me the Cavaliers were ready to move ahead with a deal featuring a signed-and-traded Wally Szczerbiak, Delonte West and perhaps some ancillary flotsam in return for Jackson, a deal that would have been visibly superior to the Charlotte deal from both a cap-management and talent perspective.
Let's run through the math. Bell is a productive player -- but at a much lower level than Jackson -- and is on the final year of his contract, making the primary benefit of the deal for Golden State the fact it clears $9.2 million in cap space in 2011. The Warriors are now a potential player in that year's free-agent market, depending on future moves.
But they could have cleared even more cap space with Cleveland's offer. Such a deal would have given the Warriors full, immediate relief from Jackson's deal after the season once they waived West (whose contract isn't guaranteed for next year) and Szczerbiak (whose contract wouldn't be guaranteed beyond this year in a sign-and-trade).
Such an arrangement would also have given the Warriors two major assets in the "confederate money" of non-guaranteed contracts. They had the alternative of pursuing a big fish in a trade with those deals at the trade deadline, especially since acquiring West and Szczerbiak at this early juncture meant both players would have been eligible for inclusion in package deals by February.
Given that none of the participants pack much on-court value to a Warriors team that's headed for the lottery regardless -- especially with the coach mailing in games and blithely surrendering 29-point quarters -- the future ramifications were vastly more important for Golden State. That they didn't do the Cleveland deal makes one wonder if their motivation to stick Jackson on a bad team trumped their duty to the organization to make the best deal available. Though a reliable source swears to me that isn't the case, I have to note that it wouldn't be the first time Don Nelson put one over on somebody; and even at this late date it probably won't be the last.
The Warriors' hand had been forced, of course, by Jackson's trade demand earlier this fall, and there's no certainty that the feisty, no-nonsense Bell will tolerate the Dubs any longer than Jackson did. He's on the last year of his contract and may seek a buyout; alternatively, he could elect to undergo wrist surgery that he forestalled while gutting out games in Charlotte. If neither scenario happens, Bay Area gamblers will immediately start pools on what date he'll issue his first trade demand.
As for Charlotte, this deal is questionable on their part too. The Bobcats were desperate for offense, so this trade makes sense on that front, but it appears to be a short-sighted maneuver. The deal adds more than $20 million in future salary, salary the team had just unloaded in a previous trade of Emeka Okafor for Tyson Chandler. It takes Charlotte out of the 2011 free-agent market and likely pulls 2012 off the table for them, too. (They'll have $30 million committed to four players, plus a likely extension for D.J. Augustin, plus the contracts of any draft picks and signings between now and then.)
Given that the Bobcats aren't exactly contending for the championship at the moment, the parsimony of owner Robert Johnson and his efforts to sell the team, it's surprising he signed off on the swap. Perhaps he figured a short-term boost to the Bobcats' dwindling attendance was worth the trade-off of long-term salary.
Jackson should be a useful player in Charlotte. He'll start at the 2, which is a stretch for him defensively, but he can initiate offense, shoot 3s and create shots for others -- all areas where Charlotte has struggled. Additionally, he's an iron man who routinely plays 40-plus minutes, which should prove helpful on the depth-starved Bobcats. He'll make a bad team less awful, basically.
One other important note, especially for you fantasy players -- his stats will likely take a savage beating. Golden State played the league's fastest pace last season; Charlotte is playing the league's slowest this season. The roughly 15 percent difference means Jackson's 20-point average last season becomes 17, his 6.5 assists become 5.2, and so on down the line.
That, mind you, presumes he'll continue playing the 39.6 minutes a game he averaged last season. If that declines at all -- and it may, especially given Larry Brown's near-comical conservatism with foul trouble -- then his averages will suffer regardless of how much the Bobcats run their offense through him.
None of that, however, answers our biggest question about this trade: Why is Jackson heading to Charlotte instead of Cleveland ? |
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